In the wake of the mass murder in Las Vegas on Sunday (10/01), the calls for gun control have become deafening – from Sen. Chris Murphy (D-CT) denouncing Congress’s failure to pass gun-control legislation as an “unintentional endorsement” of mass shootings, to pundit Keith Olbermann calling for the NRA to be labeled a “terrorist organization.”
I am a professional statistician. And I admit, before I started researching gun deaths, gun-control policy used to frustrate me.
I wished the National Rifle Association would stop blocking common-sense gun-control reforms such as banning assault weapons, restricting silencers, shrinking magazine sizes and all the other measures that could make guns less deadly.
Then, my research colleagues and I at FiveThirtyEight spent three months analyzing all 33,000 lives ended by guns each year in the United States, and I wound up frustrated in a whole new way.
We looked at what interventions might have saved those people, and the case for the policies I’d lobbied for crumbled when I examined the evidence. The best ideas left standing were narrowly tailored interventions to protect subtypes of potential victims, not broad attempts to limit the lethality of guns.
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